Live prediction board · read-only concept
The board
prices the future.
Yes/No markets on crypto, the Bitcoin network and trending tokens — each one's odds priced by an open model running on live public data. Watch the bars move as the feeds move. No betting, no wallet, nothing held.
Concept & educational. Nothing here is minted, bet, traded or custodied. Every number feeding the odds is live and real (DexScreener · Jupiter · mempool.space); the probability is a transparent model, shown openly.
The board
Markets, priced live
Every card is a Yes/No question. The green bar is the implied chance of Yes, the red bar the chance of No — repriced from the live feed each refresh. Pick a category.
Loading markets from live feeds…
Odds refresh automatically. “Updated” shows how fresh each reading is. Markets whose outcome is already observable are also shown settled in the ticker above — resolved on the real reading, not a guess.
Your wallet · read-only
You, on the board
Read-only — no betting here. OddsBoard never requests a transaction or signature. Connecting only reads your public balance and recent on-chain activity from a public RPC; nothing is minted, bet, traded or custodied.
How it works
Real feed in. Open odds out.
No order book, no crowd, no house. Each market reads one live public number and runs it through a published formula. That is the whole machine — and you can check every step.
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01
Read a live number
SOL's 24h move from DexScreener, BTC's price and fee market from mempool.space, a token's momentum — each market pulls one real reading from a public API.
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02
Price the odds
That reading goes through a logistic model: the further the signal leans one way, the higher the implied chance. No opinions, no manual lines — just the number and the curve.
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03
Move the bars
On every refresh the odds are recomputed and the Yes/No bars glide to their new width. When the feed moves, the board moves. That is all it is.
Odds engine
Price a market yourself
This is the exact model the board uses — nothing hidden. Drag the signal and watch the implied odds move. The number below is seeded live from SOL's real 24-hour change.
P(Yes) = 1 / (1 + e−k · signal) · a transparent logistic model
Change the signal with real market data and the model moves exactly as the board does. This demonstrates the mechanism — it is not advice and resolves nothing.
The tape
Live readings behind the board
The raw public numbers every market is priced from. If these move, the odds above move with them.
Questions
Straight answers
Can I bet on these markets?
No. OddsBoard is a read-only concept. There is no wallet, no deposit, no order, no payout and nothing custodied. It exists to show how a feed of real data can be turned into legible odds.
Are the odds real probabilities?
They are a model, not a forecast from a crowd of bettors. Each market reads a real live number and runs it through a published logistic formula — the same one in the odds engine. The inputs are real; the probability is an open, mechanical estimate.
Which numbers are live?
All of the inputs. Prices and 24h moves come from DexScreener and Jupiter; BTC price, fee market, mempool size and block timing come from mempool.space. Everything is pulled in your browser from public endpoints with no API key.
What does “settled” mean in the ticker?
Some questions are about something already observable — like whether SOL is up over the last 24 hours. Those are resolved directly on the real reading and shown as settled. Forward-looking markets are never auto-resolved here.
Do you collect anything about me?
No accounts, no wallet, no tracking, no cookies. Everything runs locally in your browser against public APIs.
What this is, plainly
OddsBoard is a concept board that turns live public data into Yes/No odds. The data is live and real — pulled straight from DexScreener, Jupiter and mempool.space. The odds are a transparent model, not a market of real bettors, and they resolve nothing. Nothing here is minted, bet, traded, paid out or held.